The taste of crowds.

Adoption.001 001 The taste of crowds.

I like Everett Rogers adoption curve because I find it explains quite a few different patterns. One of them we discussed recently at Zeus Jones was the abysmal taste of crowds. Unfortunately, we seem to have fallen for the utopian view that the masses are always right and have applied that concept everywhere.

While it’s true that our collective wisdom can lead to great results, that’s not true for their taste. From services like Digg to YouTube to iTunes to epinions, we rely upon popularity to provide some level of filtering for us. However as the chart above shows, what’s popular will always, over time, tend to the banal. By choosing to view, subscribe or read only what’s popular you essentially cut off the edges of your media. Lose the absolutely terrible but lose the potentially brilliant as well.

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  • Zeus Jones
    There ought to be a way to create an algorithm that only surfaces the stuff in the tails. It would provide endless amusement because it would let you sample the best and worst we can create. I think there's a business here for an enterprising web 2.0 entrepreneur.
  • Mnels
    This thought reminds me of the engaging argument made By Nassim Taleb in "The Black Swan". He refers to inference by the bell curve as "the great intellectual fraud" (GIF), because of the curve's inability to represent the real significance of large deviations (the tails of the curve). It's the stuff in the tails, the "Black Swans", that truly matter. This book is worth a look if you haven't seen it. The more I grasp how truly "uncertain" or undpredictable the world is, the more hopeful I am of our industry's future. Creativity thrives in the tails.
  • Zeus Jones
    Funny, nice one
  • Chris
    Everybody loves this post.
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